Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.222266 1.419245 1.630353 1.872589 2.141992 2.431549 2.765418
2025-02-16 0.828204 1.087605 1.391658 1.770238 2.224633 2.748100 3.392077
2025-02-23 0.610615 0.900140 1.268451 1.760970 2.391134 3.158890 4.152400
2025-03-02 0.451114 0.744408 1.147692 1.723249 2.502226 3.497650 4.840933
2025-03-09 0.353974 0.648477 1.082895 1.739030 2.670151 3.907499 5.634394
2025-03-16 0.275459 0.560252 1.010153 1.726962 2.789336 4.251474 6.353335
2025-03-23 0.234487 0.522063 1.003447 1.804748 3.034316 4.773724 7.331881
2025-03-30 0.198731 0.483930 0.988904 1.864928 3.252978 5.266232 8.288334
2025-04-06 0.157130 0.423940 0.926944 1.839642 3.336035 5.563929 8.979712
2025-04-13 0.131117 0.388350 0.901090 1.868299 3.500602 5.984430 9.859582
2025-04-20 0.107859 0.352162 0.867608 1.878217 3.632613 6.358876 10.683500
2025-04-27 0.089121 0.320950 0.838143 1.890390 3.766231 6.738591 11.526122
2025-05-04 0.070805 0.285639 0.796040 1.877555 3.861635 7.071455 12.325375
2025-05-11 0.054082 0.248267 0.742771 1.837325 3.906818 7.327728 13.020550
2025-05-18 0.044042 0.226844 0.721123 1.856057 4.055999 7.756956 13.998600
2025-05-25 0.033765 0.199525 0.679864 1.829282 4.119504 8.046949 14.767038
2025-06-01 0.027514 0.183562 0.663311 1.851471 4.272857 8.490191 15.790534
2025-06-08 0.021365 0.164223 0.633715 1.841317 4.363163 8.829144 16.655927
2025-06-15 0.018929 0.160212 0.645400 1.924232 4.636684 9.490900 18.064180
2025-06-22 0.016313 0.153738 0.648765 1.988017 4.875670 10.100635 19.403548
2025-06-29 0.012262 0.136230 0.615424 1.961673 4.933222 10.394309 20.228576
2025-07-06 0.009993 0.127175 0.606198 1.991905 5.105816 10.896377 21.413375
2025-07-13 0.007850 0.116686 0.589834 2.002379 5.237675 11.329268 22.492613